Tuesday, April 3, 2012

an interesting analogy...

a very dear friend and i were engaged in a supremely serious conversation about relationships. he, being an economist, made a statement comparing  love to  a bell curve. he said that there was nowhere to go but down. love grows and rises to a point, then peaks for a time, leaving the next phase to inevitably be a decline. a decline that continues until the love is gone and buried, or at best, no longer worth sticking around for... i found his musing rather bleak. it saddened me. i, being stuck in my 1950's time warp mentality on love and marriage and all related items found this fatalistic thought process disturbing. i am not an economist. im in investment banking. (or was) more specifically, i peddled penny stocks. if anyone knows how to deduce the value of a return, its me.
i know how to analyze the bubble. how to separate all factors of a situation and individually assign them cause and value. i told him that i don't like bell curves or his harsh analogy. i told him to look at love like a stock option. if you buy your shares at a dollar and they spike to $10 then settle back around $7, you're still a helluva lot better at $7 then you were at $1. he rebutted with a question. "what if it settles at $1.50?" my response was simple, evaluate. if you really think hard, analyze, research and truly believe that your stock wont rise any higher than that ever again, then you do what any rookie broker would do and dump the stock. you've still made a small profit and have put yourself in a position to not suffer any further losses. but if after all of your extensive research, there is even the slightest inkling that your shares may rise again, hold. the last thing you want is to dump your stock at $1.50 only to have it shoot back up to $10 in a few weeks. what could you have done with all that money? how hard would you kick yourself? Love is a gamble but it isn't as scary as some people make it out to be. when its right, its right and you'll know it. it doesn't mean that your stock wont peak and valley, it most certainly will. nobody said anything about this shit being easy. but at the end of the day, when all is said and done, if you see the potential for a high return, buy. people nowadays are so quick to say 'oh its hard i quit' people are too skittish now. they see a drop in value and they run for the hills. so few stick around long enough to see the true value of their full return. so i implore you, wholeheartedly, please close your eyes and look ahead. look forward to a time of peace and prosperity in your own life, and if any part of you can see the potential joy that will arise from keeping her there, then do it. you don't wanna be the fool that missed the bubble do you?